TUCSON, AZ, January 15, 2009 - Augusta Resource Corporation (TSX/NYSE Alternext: AZC) (“Augusta”
or the “Company”) has updated the August 2007 Bankable Feasibility
Study on its 100%-owned Rosemont Copper Project in Pima County, Arizona.
The Updated Feasibility Study (“UFS”) re-confirms Rosemont as an
economically robust open pit copper/molybdenum mine with low development
risk.
Using long-term metal pricing of $1.85
per pound of copper, $15 per pound of molybdenum, and $12 per ounce of
silver, the project would generate a net present value (NPV) (5%) of
approximately $1.2 billion with an internal rate of return (IRR) of
17.8% and a payback of 5 years on an after-tax basis. Cash costs are
estimated at $0.62 per pound of copper, net of by-product credits.
Direct field cost for constructing the 75,000 ton per day open pit mine
and heap-leach SX-EW facility is estimated at $712.7 million. In
addition, indirect costs of $184.5 million associated with engineering,
procurement and construction management, commissioning, spare parts,
contingency and Owner’s costs amount to a total project capital cost of
$897.2 million. The mine life based on current mineral reserves is 21
years, with cathode production commencing in Q4 2011 and concentrate
production in Q1 2012.
“The Rosemont project continues to
demonstrate its strength as a low-cost, low-risk, large scale
copper/moly project,” says Gil Clausen, President and CEO of Augusta. He
adds, “This project incorporates the best in sustainability and
environmental practices with outstanding economics and job creation
potential for the State of Arizona”. He also noted that using the same
metal prices as used in the previous feasibility study, the project NPV
has improved by 13%, due primarily to expanded mineral reserves and a
reduction in the strip ratio from 2.38:1 to 2.0:1. “We are confident the
project economics are robust at a wide range of metal prices, as
witnessed by the fact that even applying the average spot metal prices
witnessed in December 2008 of $1.36/lb copper, $11.00/lb molybdenum and
$10.79/oz silver the project has an after-tax IRR of 7.7%.”
The UFS and related NI 43-101 Technical
Report were prepared by M3 Engineering & Technology Corporation
(“M3”) of Tucson, Arizona. The M3 study concluded that the project is
technically and economically feasible, there are opportunities for
further optimization, and the project should press forward with
development in anticipation of receiving the necessary permits. In
addition the study concluded that the downward trend in capital
equipment and commodity costs (steel, concrete, etc.,) that started in
October 2008 is not reflected in the UFS. This may result in even more
favorable economics.
Financial Highlights - *NPV is quoted AFTER taxes and royalties.
|
|
Base Case (60/40 split) |
Historical 36 Months |
Long-term Metal Prices |
|
NPV 0% |
4,850.0 |
6,999.9 |
2,715.0 |
|
NPV 5% |
2,417.6 |
3,628.9 |
1,200.3 |
|
NPV 10% |
1,254.2 |
2,006.2 |
488.4 |
|
IRR |
28.5% |
37.5% |
17.8% |
|
Payback years |
3.1 |
2.3 |
5.0 |
|
Cash costs ($/lb Cu net |
$0.46 |
$0.32 |
$0.62 |
|
of by product) |
|
|
|
|
Base Case – 60/40 weighted average
pricing: M3 uses weighted average metal prices for NI-43-101 reporting
purposes, reflecting 60% on three-year historical prices and 40% on
two-year forward market prices. As of the end of December 2008, these
values are $2.47 per pound (lb) copper (Cu), $22.70/lb molybdenum (Mo),
$12.40 per ounce (oz) silver (Ag), and $784.65/oz gold (Au).
Case 2 – 36-Month Historical Pricing:
For SEC reporting requirements, 36-month trailing average pricing was
used at $3.14/lb Cu, $29.05/lb Mo, $13.32/oz Ag, and $723.48/oz Au.
Case 3 – Long Term Metal Pricing: Long
term fixed prices of $1.85/lb Cu, $15.00/lb Mo, and $12.00/oz Ag and
$750.00/oz Au was used.
Annual revenue is determined by applying
estimated metal prices to the annual payable metal estimated for each
operating year. Sales prices have been applied to all life of mine
production without escalation or hedging. The financial evaluation
presents the determination of the NPV after tax, payback period (time in
years after production commences to recapture the initial capital
investment), and the IRR for the project. Annual cash flow projections
were estimated over the life of the mine based on the estimates of
capital expenditures, production costs and sales revenue. Sales revenue
is based on the production of three commodities: copper, molybdenum and
silver. Gold is also present in the copper concentrates in the form of a
saleable by-product credit.
The following graph illustrates the
project NPV for various copper and molybdenum prices. The scale on the
left is the NPV in millions of US$ at a discount rate of 5% and the
scale on the right depicts the NPV at a 10% discount rate. For example:
at a copper price of $2.50/lb, and molybdenum price of $10.00/lb., the
NPV (5%) is approximately US$2.0 billion and the NPV (10%) is US$1.0
billion. Additionally a further table below depicts project sensitivity
to major input variances, such as capital cost, operating cost, metal
price and production rates.

Economic Analysis Sensitivities – Base Case ($millions)
| |
NPV @ 0% |
NPV @ 5% |
NPV @ 10% |
IRR % |
Payback years |
| Combined Base Case |
|
|
|
|
|
| (60/40 weighted average) |
4,850.0 |
2,417.6 |
1,254.2 |
28.5% |
3.1 |
| Metals Price +10% |
5,681.8 |
2,886.2 |
1,545.1 |
32.1% |
2.7 |
| Metals Price -10% |
4,014.3 |
1,944.8 |
959.5 |
24.6% |
3.5 |
| Capex +10% |
4,791.1 |
2,358.0 |
1,195.3 |
26.4% |
3.3 |
| Capex -10% |
4,908.9 |
2,477.1 |
1,313.2 |
30.9% |
2.8 |
| Opex +10% |
4,634.0 |
2,292.6 |
1,174.9 |
27.4% |
3.2 |
| Opex -10% |
5,066.0 |
2,542.3 |
1,333.2 |
29.5% |
3.0 |
| Metal Production +10% |
5,615.2 |
2,849.2 |
1,522.5 |
31.8% |
2.8 |
| Metal Production -10% |
4,083.7 |
1,984.9 |
984.9 |
25.0% |
3.5 |
Rosemont Mineral Reserves
| Classification |
Sulfides >= 3.56 $/ton NSR Cutoff |
|
Oxides >= 2.19 $/ton NSR |
| Ktons |
NSR |
Cu % |
Mo % |
|
Ag oz/t |
Ktons |
NSR |
Cu % |
| |
|
| |
$/t |
|
$/t |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Proven |
141,999 |
14.19 |
0.48 |
0.015 |
|
0.13 |
16,250 |
3.91 |
0.18 |
| Probable |
404,339 |
13.12 |
0.45 |
0.015 |
|
0.11 |
53,724 |
3.77 |
0.17 |
| Total |
546,338 |
13.40 |
0.45 |
0.015 |
|
0.12 |
69,974 |
3.80 |
0.17 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proven and probable reserves totals are included within the measured and indicated resource values quoted.
Rosemont Deposit Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources
| Material / |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cutoff |
|
|
|
Ag |
lbs Cu |
lbs Mo |
oz Ag |
| (% Cu) |
Ktons |
% Cu |
% Mo |
Oz/ton |
(millions) |
(millions) |
(millions) |
| Oxides: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.10 |
103,400 |
0.20 |
- |
- |
417 |
- |
- |
| 0.15 |
66,000 |
0.25 |
- |
- |
328 |
- |
- |
| 0.20 |
35,000 |
0.32 |
- |
- |
224 |
- |
- |
| Mixed: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.15 |
39,100 |
0.51 |
0.005 |
0.05 |
398 |
4.1 |
1.9 |
| 0.20 |
38,300 |
0.52 |
0.005 |
0.05 |
396 |
4.0 |
1.9 |
| 0.25 |
36,900 |
0.53 |
0.005 |
0.05 |
389 |
3.9 |
1.9 |
| 0.30 |
33,900 |
0.55 |
0.005 |
0.05 |
373 |
3.5 |
1.8 |
| Sulfides: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.15 |
596,800 |
0.46 |
0.014 |
0.12 |
5,440 |
172.4 |
70.4 |
| 0.20 |
523,800 |
0.50 |
0.015 |
0.13 |
5,190 |
159.5 |
66.6 |
| 0.25 |
458,100 |
0.54 |
0.016 |
0.14 |
4,910 |
148.8 |
62.3 |
| 0.30 |
401,300 |
0.57 |
0.016 |
0.14 |
4,600 |
130.4 |
57.7 |
Rosemont Deposit Inferred Mineral Resources
|
Material / |
|
|
|
|
|
|
oz Ag |
|
Cutoff |
|
|
|
Ag |
lbs Cu |
lbs Mo |
|
(% Cu) |
Ktons |
% Cu |
% Mo |
Oz/ton |
(millions) |
|
(millions) |
(millions) |
|
|
|
Oxides: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.10 |
30,400 |
0.24 |
- |
- |
147 |
- |
- |
|
0.15 |
17,800 |
0.33 |
- |
- |
117 |
- |
- |
|
0.20 |
12,700 |
0.39 |
- |
- |
100 |
- |
- |
|
Mixed: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.15 |
21,100 |
0.35 |
0.004 |
0.02 |
148 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
|
0.20 |
19,100 |
0.37 |
0.004 |
0.01 |
141 |
1.5 |
0.3 |
|
0.25 |
14,500 |
0.42 |
0.004 |
0.02 |
121 |
1.2 |
0.2 |
|
0.30 |
12,200 |
0.45 |
0.003 |
0.02 |
109 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
|
Sulfides: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.15 |
208,800 |
0.38 |
0.007 |
0.06 |
1,600 |
29.2 |
12.1 |
|
0.20 |
160,600 |
0.45 |
0.008 |
0.07 |
1,440 |
25.7 |
10.9 |
|
0.25 |
133,800 |
0.49 |
0.008 |
0.08 |
1,320 |
21.4 |
10.0 |
|
0.30 |
105,000 |
0.56 |
0.008 |
0.09 |
1,170 |
16.8 |
8.9 |
Environmental/ Permitting
Applications for operation permits were
initiated after submittal of the Mine Plan of Operations in July 2007.
One of these, the 20-year groundwater withdrawal permit, was approved
and issued by Department Water Resources in early 2008.
Five additional major approvals are
required before construction can begin. The first of the five is an
approval of an Arizona State Mine Inspector Mine Reclamation Plan. The
Plan was approved as administratively complete during the fourth quarter
of 2008 and awaits technical review and public comment. Action on the
Reclamation Plan is expected to be completed during second half of 2009.
The second of the five is the State
Aquifer Protection Permit (APP); an application has been prepared and is
in final internal review prior to submittal first quarter 2009.
Processing and public notice of the APP are expected late 2009. The
third is the Air Emissions Permit; this application will be submitted
following completion of basic engineering in second quarter 2009. Under
this schedule, the state and county permits can be anticipated by first
quarter 2010.
The fourth of the major approvals is
the Army Corps of Engineers Section 404 permit. The process has been
initiated with the agency; the 404 permit requires completion of the
environmental impact statement (“EIS”) prior to final action. The
federal EIS public scoping process has been completed; the Draft EIS is
scheduled to be released by the US Forest Service in November 2009. The
Section 404 permit will follow this same schedule. The final operations
approval is the Record of Decision by the Forest Service. A written
memorandum of understanding between Rosemont and the Coronado Forest
schedules completion of the Final EIS and Record of Decision in July
2010.
Production
The mining process at Rosemont will be a
conventional modern hard rock open pit operation. The open pit mine,
concentrator and leaching facilities will include a nominal concentrator
production capacity of 75,000 ton per day (“TPD”). The proposed
Rosemont mine is expected to produce annually 221 million pounds of
recovered copper, 4.7 million pounds of recovered molybdenum, 2.4
million ounces of recovered silver and approximately 15 thousand ounces
of gold as a by-product credit over a 20 year-plus mine life.
Capital Costs
The total capital of new construction
(includes all direct and indirect costs), for a 75,000 TPD open pit mine
and sulfide copper concentrator plant with a heap leach SX-EW plant for
the treatment of oxide copper mineral reserve, is estimated to be
$897.2 million, The direct field cost for constructing the project at
$712.7 million as well as $184.5 million for the indirect costs
associated with the design engineering, procurement and construction,
commissioning, spare parts, contingency and Owner’s cost. All capital
costs are estimated to an accuracy of +/- 15%.
Operating Costs
The average life of mine operating
costs for the mining operation is $0.83 per ton mined. These costs
include drilling, blasting, loading, hauling, road and dump maintenance
and general mining. Mill process operating costs average $3.34/ton of
mill ore, which includes crushing and conveying, grinding and
classification, flotation and regrind, concentrate thickening,
filtration and dewatering, tailings disposal and mill ancillary
services. General and administrative costs are $0.27/ton of mill ore.
All costs are at an accuracy of ± 10%.
Technical Report
A NI 43-101 Technical Report on the UFS results has been filed under the Company’s profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, as well as on the Company’s website at www.augustaresource.com.
Qualified Person
The UFS and NI 43-101 Technical Report
were prepared by an integrated engineering team led by M3 of Tucson,
Arizona as the primary author of the Technical Report. The Technical
Report was conducted under the overall review of Dr. Conrad Huss, P.E.,
of M3, an independent Qualified Person under the standards set forth
under NI 43- 101.
ABOUT M3 ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION - M3
Engineering & Technology Corporation (M3) provides professional
EPCM services to the hard rock mining and cement industries. M3’s
largest project under current construction is the Goldcorp Minera
Penasquito poly-metallic mine in Zacatecas, Mexico with a capital cost
in excess of $1 billion. Successful past projects include Penoles
Madero, Newmont La Herradura, Frontera Copper Piedras Verdes, Pan
American Silver Alamo Dorado, Alamos Gold Mulatos, and Mitsubishi Cement
Long Beach Loadout. Historically M3 has provided design for some 7,500
projects and is now recognized as an industry leader in Feasibility
Studies and associated NI 43-101’s. For the Rosemont UFS, Conrad Huss,
P.E., Ph.D., is serving as Principal Author. Dr. Huss is M3’s Chairman
of the Board. He has some 40 years of experience in engineering,
operations, and construction.
ABOUT AUGUSTA RESOURCE CORPORATION -
Augusta is a base metals company
focused on advancing the Rosemont Copper deposit near Tucson, Arizona.
Rosemont currently hosts a large copper/molybdenum reserve that may
account for about 10% of US copper output once in production in 2011
(refer to Augusta’s website at www.augustaresource.com for
details). The exceptional experience and strength of Augusta’s
management team, combined with the developed infrastructure and robust
economics of the Rosemont project, will propel Augusta to become a solid
mid-tier copper producer within the next four years. The Company is
traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the NYSE Alternext under the
symbol AZC, and on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange under the symbol A5R.
For additional information please visit www.augustaresource.com or contact:
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS REGARDING FORWARD LOOKING INFORMATION
Certain of the statements made and
information contained herein and in the documents incorporated by
reference may contain forward-looking statements or information within
the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and forward looking statements or information within the meaning of the Securities Act (Ontario).
Forward- looking statements or information include statements regarding
the expectations and beliefs of management. Forward looking statements
or information include, but are not limited to, statements or
information with respect to known or unknown risks, uncertainties and
other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or
achievements of the Company, or industry results, to be materially
different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed
or implied by such forward-looking statements or information.
Forward-looking statements or information are subject
to a variety of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual events
or results to differ from those reflected in the forward-looking
statements or information, including, without limitation, risks and
uncertainties relating to the Company’s plans at its Rosemont Property
and other mineral properties, the interpretation of drill results and
the estimation of mineral resources and reserves, the geology, grade and
continuity of mineral deposits, the possibility that future
exploration, development or mining results will not be consistent with
the Company’s expectations, metal recoveries, accidents, equipment
breakdowns, title matters, labor disputes or other unanticipated
difficulties with or interruptions in production and operations, the
potential for delays in exploration or development activities or the
completion of feasibility studies, the inherent uncertainty of
production and cost estimates and the potential for unexpected costs and
expenses, commodity price fluctuations, currency fluctuations, failure
to obtain adequate financing on a timely basis, the effect of hedging
activities, including margin limits and margin calls, regulatory
restrictions, including environmental regulatory restrictions and
liability, the speculative nature of mineral exploration, dilution,
competition, loss of key employees, and other risks and uncertainties,
including those described under “Risk Factors Relating to the Company’s
Business” in the Company’s Annual Information Form dated March 4, 2008.
Should one or more of these risks and uncertainties materialize, or
should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary
materially from those described in forward-looking statements.
Accordingly, readers are advised not to place undue reliance on
forward-looking statements or information. We do not expect to update
forward-looking statements or information continually as conditions
change, and you are referred to the full discussion of the Company’s
business contained in the Company’s reports filed with the securities
regulatory authorities in Canada and the United States.